Performance in the Japanese hedge fund industry in 2024 was driven by a combination of macro factors, ongoing excitement about Japanese corporate governance improvements and a resurgence of fundamentals
Quant global macro strategies experienced mixed to positive performance in December. Like their systematic trend cousins, quant macro seemed to find its best opportunities in currency markets but challenging conditions in metals
Despite some uncertainties, there are plenty of opportunities in under-researched areas where investors can be more than compensated for the risk they are taking
Long term trend followers had a strong month in November, and the most interesting observation is how differently each program prospered. The one constant is that fixed income and interest rates was the laggard sector, negative for most programs
There are no changes to the constituents in the flagship SG CTA Index but there is one new constituent in the SG Trend Index for 2025, and two new constituents in the SG Short-Term Traders Index
Trend followers posted a negative October, with the clear underperforming sector being fixed income - both shorter-term rates and longer-term bond markets
The discretionary global macro programs we follow were generally positive in September, primarily by being long fixed income and rates, short the US dollar on a highly anticipated Fed rate cut
An adaptive quantitative model must distinguish between genuine changes in market dynamics and random noise to avoid overreacting and making poor investment decisions